Working paper

Equilibrium Effects in Complementary Markets: Electric Vehicle Adoption and Electricity Pricing

Pascal Heid, Kevin Remmy, and Mathias Reynaert

Abstract

The transition to electric vehicles (EVs) shifts the complementary market for passenger transport from oil to electricity. We develop and estimate a joint equilibrium model linking the German vehicle and electricity markets, emphasizing the timing of EV charging as generation costs and emissions vary intraday. A 10% EV stock raises wholesale electricity prices by about 2%, creating a sizable pecuniary externality. Timevarying tariffs shift charging to cheaper hours and spur adoption, only partially alleviating the aggregate price pressure. Time-varying tariffs sustain EV adoption when the electricity market faces higher demand or carbon costs.

Keywords

Electric vehicles; electricity markets; charging; complementary markets;

JEL codes

  • L5: Regulation and Industrial Policy
  • L6: Industry Studies: Manufacturing
  • L9: Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities
  • Q4: Energy
  • Q5: Environmental Economics

Reference

Pascal Heid, Kevin Remmy, and Mathias Reynaert, Equilibrium Effects in Complementary Markets: Electric Vehicle Adoption and Electricity Pricing, TSE Working Paper, n. 24-1589, October 2024, revised October 2025.

See also

Published in

TSE Working Paper, n. 24-1589, October 2024, revised October 2025