Résumé
Is risk taking an important channel by which monetary policy shocks affect economic activity? On the basis of a nonlinear structural VAR including a new measure of risk sensitivity by economic agents, we show that the role of the risk-taking channel depends on the state of the economy. While it is irrelevant during recession or normal times, it acts as an amplifier by boosting output during expansion. It means that, as long as monetary policy does not actively "lean against the wind", it may exacerbate boom-bust patterns.
Mots-clés
Risk-taking channel; Monetary policy; Boom-bust cycle;
Codes JEL
- C32: Time-Series Models • Dynamic Quantile Regressions • Dynamic Treatment Effect Models • Diffusion Processes
- E52: Monetary Policy
Remplacé par
Patrick Fève, Pablo Garcia et Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, « State-dependent risk taking and the transmission of monetary policy shocks », Economics Letters, vol. 164, mars 2018, p. 10–14.
Référence
Patrick Fève, Pablo Garcia et Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, « State-dependent risk taking and the transmission of monetary policy shocks », TSE Working Paper, n° 17-872, décembre 2017.
Voir aussi
Publié dans
TSE Working Paper, n° 17-872, décembre 2017