Abstract
Do strategies of state-sponsored homophobia translate into electoral gains?While a growing body of literature documents the increasing politicization of LGBTQ- and gender-related issues by illiberal elites, little is known about the electoral effects of these strategies. We address this important question by studying whether anti-LGBTQ mobilization pays off electorally for the initiating party. Empirically, we study the adoption of anti-LGBTQ resolu-tions in many Polish municipalities prior to the 2019 parliamentary election. Using a synthetic difference-in-differences design, we find that these resolu-tions significantly depressed turnout in affected municipalities, with oppo-sition parties showing less mobilization capacity. By contrast, turnout for the incumbent Law and Justice Party increased substantially. Overall, this study’s findings are relevant for understanding the electoral consequences of both elite-led mobilization against stigmatized and discriminated groups, and policies of subnational democratic backsliding.
Keywords
LGBTQ rights; sexuality and politics; political homophobia; political competition; political participation;
Reference
Violeta Haas, Konstantin Bogatyrev, Tarik Abou-Chadi, Heike Klüver, and Lukas F. Stoetzer, “The Electoral Effects of State-Sponsored Homophobia”, TSE Working Paper, n. 25-1628, March 2025.
See also
Published in
TSE Working Paper, n. 25-1628, March 2025